Member Article

North West business confidence falls as disruption grips firms

Business confidence in the North West fell 44 points during April to -35%, according to the latest Business Barometer from Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking.

Companies in the North West reported lower confidence in their business prospects month-on-month at -28%. When taken alongside their views of the economy overall, this gives a headline confidence reading of -35%.

The Business Barometer questions 1,200 businesses monthly and provides early signals about UK economic trends both regionally and nationwide.

In an illustration of the impact of COVID-19 on the region’s business, the majority of firms reported a significant decrease in demand for their goods and services, with 78% seeing demand fall in April compared to 7% who saw it rise.

Almost half (49%) of businesses in the region were operating below 50% capacity, while 32% of reported operating above this level. Nearly a fifth (17%) of firms weren’t operating at all.

Of the 80% of businesses that reported disruption to their supply chain during April, 32% expected the situation to improve within three months, while 10% expected it would take more than 12 months to return to normal levels.

Glenn Bemment, regional director for the North West at Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking, said: “It’s not surprising that confidence in the North West has fallen this month, with some of the region’s key sectors being hit the hard by measures to tackle the pandemic.

“Manufacturing, tourism and hospitality have all borne the brunt of lockdown and we fully understand how difficult this situation is for business owners.

“We’re working hard to help firms navigate the unprecedented disruption caused by COVID-19, which includes setting aside £2bn of arrangement fee-free finance for those directly affected by the pandemic.”

National overview

Across the UK, overall confidence fell 38 points to -32% as firms’ optimism in the economy and confidence in their own prospects dropped sharply. Wales reported the lowest confidence at -52%.

Sectors

In April, overall business confidence fell across all four sectors. Confidence in the manufacturing sector saw the sharpest decline, falling 46 percentage points to -35%, with the retail sector falling to -33%. The construction sector fell by 34 percentage points to -20%, while services fell 23 points to -22%.

Hann-Ju Ho, senior economist for Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking, said: “The results in April demonstrate the full impact of the measures taken by the Government to shut down large parts of the economy to help contain the pandemic, with sentiment now matching the all-time low of December 2008.

“There are tentative signs that China’s economy is stabilising as it starts to ease lockdown measures, and that may serve as a template for the rest of the world.”

This was posted in Bdaily's Members' News section by James Stewart .